Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 88094.779253 92938.724687 97780.337899 102979.381354 108400.827194 113884.087668 119845.627527
2025-06-15 80677.852148 88136.783805 95799.152059 104248.415088 113293.400056 122675.135185 133131.144871
2025-06-22 75113.000416 84361.785547 94070.345733 104999.883114 116939.431016 129564.312090 143901.005811
2025-06-29 70400.754773 80945.215703 92217.195772 105128.075160 119470.570245 134878.017617 152643.710329
2025-07-06 66489.331186 78044.796066 90596.530141 105191.457076 121641.604979 139554.801893 160480.573393
2025-07-13 64306.982410 76865.593077 90698.964517 106996.088328 125596.259214 146088.088631 170293.716116
2025-07-20 62266.683773 75682.931291 90652.048252 108499.372068 129101.853480 152039.889697 179407.235852
2025-07-27 60099.461262 74213.183549 90152.201895 109370.040737 131791.056617 156998.738228 187352.822136
2025-08-03 57682.151746 72322.401428 89049.427306 109434.593638 133458.606836 160719.461141 193832.831405
2025-08-10 55653.089734 70790.230902 88275.390908 109799.482286 135405.485507 164712.085647 200598.140692
2025-08-17 53618.380644 69159.173194 87301.334568 109850.621697 136918.721994 168153.213690 206693.349814
2025-08-24 52310.874454 68347.819698 87252.570835 110958.720629 139650.649603 173006.592017 214450.901036
2025-08-31 50285.417904 66606.043861 86044.722288 110648.971556 140686.188915 175879.307269 219923.580623
2025-09-07 49340.564152 66168.027441 86397.819621 112219.040824 143986.556805 181466.550948 228675.286462
2025-09-14 48102.557893 65311.067536 86192.028358 113067.484026 146386.069763 185966.596960 236137.378785
2025-09-21 46603.362900 64067.074157 85455.883089 113214.967590 147891.972591 189367.207781 242269.212042
2025-09-28 45155.991797 62837.823348 84691.644911 113284.822789 149268.408308 192590.074322 248181.009420
2025-10-05 44644.857202 62794.799951 85406.764355 115201.872081 152939.762692 198633.318276 257574.377089
2025-10-12 44022.199482 62578.671580 85880.024598 116798.182462 156206.397966 204189.626125 266400.219958
2025-10-19 43138.273518 61986.122454 85843.261257 117722.571776 158615.035171 208685.648594 273934.807550
2025-10-26 41929.574214 60923.353258 85164.077056 117791.108754 159916.063475 211792.197388 279746.684567
2025-11-02 40913.059131 60086.409440 84750.692630 118178.473518 161606.252460 215379.208248 286167.033315
2025-11-09 39805.972393 59093.479822 84102.384998 118232.761952 162848.842612 218393.531956 291872.714967